Risk & Position Sizing

Compound Growth Scenario

Model compound growth using starting capital, assumed return, recurring contributions, fees and multiple scenarios over time.

FreeNo installationEducational & analytical
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Tool guide

How is compound growth calculated?

Compounding occurs when each period’s return is applied to a balance that already includes prior gains or losses. In trading, a constant return is only a scenario assumption, not a forecast.

Logic / formula

Without contributions: FV = PV × (1+r)^n; recurring contributions compound from their selected timing.

Read the output

Separate final capital into contributed capital and growth generated by compounding.

TT-FT-008 · versioned engine compound-growth@2.0.0 · educational/analytical use; not investment advice.

Full guide, examples, and sources

Who is it for?

Users with reviewable data or a trade sample Anyone testing assumptions before real capital

When should you not rely on it?

A small, incomplete, or cherry-picked sample Using the result as a guarantee of future performance

Logic, formula and methodology

Compounding occurs when each period’s return is applied to a balance that already includes prior gains or losses. In trading, a constant return is only a scenario assumption, not a forecast. Without contributions: FV = PV × (1+r)^n; recurring contributions compound from their selected timing.

Exact iterative compounding with beginning/end contributions, periodic fees, period count, periods per year, equivalent annualized assumption, inflation adjustment, paid-in capital, net growth, and milestone balances.

Worked example

Example
£10,000 with an assumed 2% return for 24 periods
This path shows how a constant 2% compounds on prior capital; the constant rate is only a scenario assumption.

How to read the result

No single metric is sufficient for judgement. Sample size and data quality are part of the result.

Separate final value into paid-in capital and growth component. Compare scenarios to understand sensitivity to return, contributions and drawdown interruptions, and do not treat the result as a forecast.

What the TupTrader version adds

The value of this version is not cosmetic; the result, assumptions and workflow are connected to the practical capabilities below.

  • Scenario A/B/C
  • Growth curve
  • Contribution vs growth decomposition
  • Fixed/variable contribution
  • Period table
  • Drawdown interruption scenario
  • Save/compare
Turn the result into a workflow

Validate the result with a second tool. Run out-of-sample or Monte Carlo analysis. Record executable rules in the plan.

Related tool →

Common mistakes and limitations

  • Overfitting or choosing parameters after seeing results
  • Omitting costs and unfavourable trades
  • Mixing incompatible samples
  • A constant-rate model simplifies taxes, changing returns, irregular withdrawals and the actual return distribution. It is for scenario planning, not a growth promise.

Frequently asked questions

Is beginning-of-period contribution better than end-of-period?

Under a constant positive rate, money contributed earlier compounds for longer; real market returns can also be negative.

Can I multiply a monthly rate by 12 to annualize it?

Exact annual equivalence depends on compounding; simple multiplication is not the same as compounded annualization.

Why is this not a forecast?

Because future returns are unknown and real performance paths are not constant.

Sources and research method

This guide combines the tool’s versioned specification, the earlier TupTrader educational page and the authoritative sources below. External sources are used for definitions and scientific boundaries, not for signals.

This tool is for education, scenario analysis and process control. It is not investment advice, a buy/sell signal or a guarantee of future performance.
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